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Are there market cycles that an
investor can take advantage of? You
bet!
There are more bull markets than
bear markets, and they last longer.
Since there are historically three,
32-month periods of generally rising
prices for every one 9-month period
of falling prices, you can take
advantage of this fact by just
staying in the market all the time,
preferably with an index mutual
fund. This will make you a winner 3
out of every 4 years. What could be
simpler?
But shouldn't you take your money
out of the market during the down
years? Well sure, if you can
accurately determine the top and
bottom of the market. Otherwise you
will end up getting out too soon or
too late, and back in either too
soon or too late.
The big gains made over the past
25 years were concentrated in just
215 out of 9,100 days. If you were
out of the market on just some of
these days, you missed out big time.
I will point out that there seems
to be an advantage in avoiding
September and early October. June,
July, and August are under-achieving
months also.
Look at this. If you put $10,000
into the S&P 500 each May 1 and then
sold on October 3, each year from
1950 to 1999, your total profit
would be $11,740. But if you put
that same $10,000 in on November 1
and sold on April 31, your profit
would have been $386,384. Make sure
you are fully invested from November
through April.
Other Stock Market Basics Topics:
-
Stock Market Investing – the
Right Way
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More Stock Marketing Investing
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How to Pick Winning Stocks
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The Golden Rule of Investing
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Avoid Psychological Traps to
Have Successful Investing
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Changes in Stock Values Can Be
Big Numbers
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How to Invest Smart
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Stock Advice - Important Selling
Rules
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Poor Stock Buying Decisions
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Market Indicators
- Stock Market Cycles
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When a bear stock market may not
be a bear market
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Stock Index Futures
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Four Things that Affect Stock
Valuation
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What is a P/E ratio?
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Value Investing
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Cheap Stocks
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What is a Financial Statement?
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Analyzing Financial Statements
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Stock Market Tip - Red Flags to
Look For When Investing?
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The Annual Report – How to Read
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Stock Market Analysts – Stock
Market Advice and Tips
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