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One way of categorizing stocks is by
their market capitalization, the
total number of shares multiplied by
the price per share. When their
market cap is less than $500
million, the company is relatively
small and maybe getting smaller.
Seems harmless. Buy a hundred
shares for $1.25 each, you're just
risking $125 and if it goes up to
$2.50 you've made 100% on your
money. The percentage sounds great,
but making $125 isn't really much,
and you might have paid $60 in
trading fees. So to make it worth
your while, you might buy 1,000 or
5,000 shares.
But now you're risking thousands of
dollars. Very risky.
Cheap stocks can be easily
manipulated by someone talking them
up in an internet chat-room. Called
"pump and dump", it does happen. A
stock that trades maybe 5,000 shares
a day is easy pickings for these
scammers. You can be tempted into
buying at an artificially high
price, then watch it drop 50% in
just a couple of days. You also pay
a higher spread to buy into a thinly
traded company.
Historically, small-cap stocks,
as a percentage of return on your
investment, have outperformed
large-cap stocks; not because a
bunch of cheap, small companies are
a better investment than big
companies, but because almost all
big companies were small when they
first sold stock. But many (maybe
most) large companies are all
through growing and are just
fighting for market share, such as
Coca-Cola and General Motors.
Never, ever buy a low-priced
stock just because it used to trade
at a much higher price, hoping it
will return to its glory days.
You have to ask "why did the
price fall so low in the first
place?"
The market has thousands (yes,
thousands) of disappointing
companies whose stocks are not only
trading below $10, but are headed
lower. Relatively few of these
stocks are heading back up.
A Merrill Lynch study looked at
1,900 stocks that had fallen below
$10 a share from 1987 to 2000. On
average only 1 out of 30 rebounded
to over $15 during the next year
after dropping under $10.
|
Year |
|
Number of stocks that
fell below $10 |
|
Number rebounding
to over $15 |
|
___________________________________________________ |
|
1987 |
|
63 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
1988 |
|
69 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
1989 |
|
33 |
|
|
0 |
|
|
1990 |
|
52 |
|
|
0 |
|
|
1991 |
|
46 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
1992 |
|
52 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
1993 |
|
83 |
|
|
0 |
|
|
1994 |
|
99 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
1995 |
|
92 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
1996 |
|
208 |
|
|
10 |
|
|
1997 |
|
286 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
1998 |
|
371 |
|
|
20 |
|
| 1999
|
|
265 |
|
|
30 |
(buying mania) |
|
2000 |
|
437 |
|
|
5 |
|
Avoid any stock that has fallen
to under $10. Sure, it may recover
someday. But why tie up your money
in a company that may go nowhere for
years. Wait until the company has
proven itself and then pick the
sensible point to buy.
There are many gems among the
small-cap companies if you can spot
the true up-and-comers.
Just because a company is small,
and maybe its stock is priced low,
doesn’t mean it should automatically
be passed over. There are some
young, quality companies, whose
stock is trading for under $5 a
share. It’s the stocks that have
crashed from lofty heights that you
should avoid like the plague.
I would like to emphasize that
you can not tell if a company is a
small-cap or a large-cap by its
share price. Market cap is the share
price times the number-of-shares
available for trading. There are
many quality small-cap stocks
trading for over $20 a share.
|
The next section, Financial
Statements, is quite
important. Our examples will
throw around the words
“billions of dollars” maybe
a bit too casually.
It is hard to
comprehend just how much a
billion dollars is, let
alone billions and billions.
If you were to leave
home and spend $1,000 a day,
not returning until you’ve
spent a million dollars, you
would come back home in
about 3 years. If you had a
billion dollars to spend at
the same rate of $1,000 a
day, you wouldn’t return for
3,000 years. JDS Uniphase’s
$44 billion write-off, for
example, would take over
120,000 years. |
Other Stock Market Basics Topics:
-
Stock Market Investing – the
Right Way
-
More Stock Marketing Investing
-
How to Pick Winning Stocks
-
The Golden Rule of Investing
-
Avoid Psychological Traps to
Have Successful Investing
-
Changes in Stock Values Can Be
Big Numbers
-
How to Invest Smart
-
Stock Advice - Important Selling
Rules
-
Poor Stock Buying Decisions
-
Market Indicators
-
Stock Market Cycles
-
When a bear stock market may not
be a bear market
-
Stock Index Futures
-
Four Things that Affect Stock
Valuation
-
What is a P/E ratio?
-
Value Investing
-
Cheap Stocks
-
What is a Financial Statement?
-
Analyzing Financial Statements
-
Stock Market Tip - Red Flags to
Look For When Investing?
-
The Annual Report – How to Read
-
Stock Market Analysts – Stock
Market Advice and Tips
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